Economic Policy
Fed decision in April?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
No change
99.9%
25+ bps increase
0.1%
Soccer
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
France
16.7%
Spain
15.5%
Sports
2026 NBA Champion
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Oklahoma City Thunder
51.5%
San Antonio Spurs
15.9%
Bitcoin
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
by December 31, 2026
9.5%
by June 30, 2026
1.4%
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
J.D. Vance
39.3%
Marco Rubio
20.9%
World Elections
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Gavin Newsom
25.7%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8.6%
Music
Eurovision Winner 2026
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Finland
36.4%
Denmark
11.8%
World Elections
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
JD Vance
18.9%
Gavin Newsom
17.8%
Sports
2026 Men's French Open Winner
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Jannik Sinner
65.5%
Alexander Zverev
7.7%
Sports
F1 Drivers' Champion
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
George Russell
41%
Kimi Antonelli
31.3%
Elections
Next French Presidential Election
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Édouard Philippe
22.5%
Jordan Bardella
22%
Airdrops
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
>$600M
97.7%
>$800M
94.5%
Trump-Putin
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
June 30
7.5%
December 31
0%
Brazil
Brazil Presidential Election
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Flávio Bolsonaro
40.4%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
36.5%
World Elections
West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
AITC
57.6%
BJP
41.2%
Soccer
UEFA Champions League Winner
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Bayern Munich
36.5%
PSG
26.5%
Solana
Solana all time high by ___?
Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?
December 31, 2026
11.5%
September 30, 2026
5.5%
Elections
California Governor Election Winner
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Tom Steyer
46.4%
Xavier Becerra
21.3%
Sports
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Colorado Avalanche
27.7%
Carolina Hurricanes
23%
Culture
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Binary
Yes
3.9%
No
96.2%
Politics
Colombia Presidential Election
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Iván Cepeda Castro
40.5%
Paloma Valencia
31.7%
Midterms
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Not Extended & Democratic Party
85.5%
Not Extended & Republican Party
13.5%
Elections
Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?
Rob Sand
97.4%
Julie Stauch
1.3%
Foreign Policy
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Binary
Yes
7.5%
No
92.6%